Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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EXETER CITY vs. BURTON ALBION
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Exeter City vs. Burton Albion.
Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Exeter City (ELO score: 3642) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Burton Albion (ELO score: 3533) |
---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Home | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Away | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 APR 1974 | LGE | Shrewsbury Town (3533) |
0 - 0 | Walsall (3642) |
0.2 |
19 MAR 1938 | LGE | Crystal Palace (3642) |
1 - 0 | Leyton Orient (3533) |
4 |
24 SEP 1932 | LGE | Walsall (3533) |
3 - 2 | Tranmere Rovers (3642) |
9.4 |
A historical comparison of Exeter City's and Burton Albion's ELO scores.
Exeter City | Burton Albion | |
---|---|---|
Current ELO Score: | 3642 | 3532.8 |
Best ELO Score: | 3777.5 Saturday, January 28, 1933 |
3771.4 Saturday, April 29, 2017 |
Worst ELO Score: | 3318.8 Saturday, August 12, 1995 |
3286.7 Saturday, December 18, 2004 |
A summary of all historical matches between Exeter City and Burton Albion.
Venue | Played | Exeter City wins |
Draws | Burton Albion wins |
Exeter City goals |
Burton Albion goals |
Exeter City SR% |
Burton Albion SR% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 29 | 42.5% | 57.5% |
HOME | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 55.0% | 45.0% |
AWAY | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 30.0% | 70.0% |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 MAR 2024 | LGE | Exeter City (3599) |
1 - 0 | Burton Albion (3570) |
8.1 |
2 SEP 2023 | LGE | Burton Albion (3595) |
0 - 1 | Exeter City (3665) |
9 |
11 FEB 2023 | LGE | Burton Albion (3565) |
1 - 0 | Exeter City (3637) |
11 |
17 SEP 2022 | LGE | Exeter City (3641) |
0 - 2 | Burton Albion (3511) |
21.7 |
6 DEC 2014 | LGE | Exeter City (3527) |
1 - 1 | Burton Albion (3561) |
0.2 |
19 AUG 2014 | LGE | Burton Albion (3572) |
1 - 0 | Exeter City (3469) |
6.1 |
1 FEB 2014 | LGE | Burton Albion (3566) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3466) |
3.8 |
26 OCT 2013 | LGE | Exeter City (3535) |
0 - 1 | Burton Albion (3565) |
10.3 |
23 FEB 2013 | LGE | Burton Albion (3535) |
4 - 2 | Exeter City (3564) |
14.4 |
1 SEP 2012 | LGE | Exeter City (3552) |
3 - 0 | Burton Albion (3419) |
9.3 |
26 APR 2008 | CONF | Burton Albion (3422) |
4 - 4 | Exeter City (3471) |
0 |
17 NOV 2007 | CONF | Exeter City (3447) |
1 - 4 | Burton Albion (3444) |
20.1 |
24 FEB 2007 | CONF | Exeter City (3447) |
3 - 0 | Burton Albion (3393) |
12.3 |
27 NOV 2006 | CONF | Burton Albion (3406) |
1 - 0 | Exeter City (3436) |
9.3 |
10 FEB 2006 | CONF | Burton Albion (3383) |
2 - 0 | Exeter City (3494) |
17.3 |
24 SEP 2005 | CONF | Exeter City (3542) |
1 - 2 | Burton Albion (3301) |
16.9 |
15 MAR 2005 | CONF | Exeter City (3485) |
3 - 1 | Burton Albion (3354) |
7.5 |
27 NOV 2004 | CONF | Burton Albion (3309) |
1 - 0 | Exeter City (3465) |
12.7 |
21 FEB 2004 | CONF | Exeter City (3449) |
2 - 0 | Burton Albion (3399) |
10.5 |
3 OCT 2003 | CONF | Burton Albion (3361) |
3 - 4 | Exeter City (3438) |
9.5 |